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Red211
632874.0
7865.8
944320.8
Blue135
404139.4
159145.5
856733.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170124050100150200250300211135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+78Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave0
12Coral scored#5
58Coral points26
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +46
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points51
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
30Processor points12
28Net points20
58Algae points32
129Total teleop83
Reef
14L4#7
8L3#4
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
211Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.01.3
71.472.7
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 28.5
1591
#42
45.50.4
44.444.8
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
Second
78
#6
65.81.3
63.164.4
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
red by 26.4
4041
#16
39.40.4
38.238.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.0
End6.5
Third
9443
#58
20.81.3
18.119.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 12.8
8567
#39
33.60.4
33.133.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.2
End3.9