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Red231
19074.3
694106.6
226221.4
Blue110
46754.3
279131.9
870844.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20113550100150250300231110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+99Teleop
+123Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave0
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points26
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +67
24Coral scored#11
87Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
137Total teleop70
Reef
14L4#6
6L3#5
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
36Cage & park12
36Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points2
231Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
106.60.8
102.9103.8
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
red by 52.3
467
#54
54.30.5
54.053.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
Second
190
#4
74.30.8
70.671.4
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
red by 30.2
8708
#18
44.00.5
43.743.2
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
Third
2262
#62
21.40.8
20.621.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 10.5
2791
#38
31.90.5
32.431.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7