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Red149
127735.5
964238.3
490957.9
Blue152
237057.8
1006326.1
175741.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301120200300400500149152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
6Coral scored#4
29Coral points20
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points57
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
6Processor points24
12Net points24
18Algae points48
92Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
149Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#53
57.90.3
58.058.4
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
red by 0.1
2370
#49
57.80.7
56.457.1
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Second
9642
#43
38.30.3
37.938.3
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
blue by 2.9
1757
#46
41.20.7
39.840.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
35.50.3
35.635.9
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
red by 9.4
26.10.7
24.825.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4