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Red194
808541.1
431139.4
740784.3
Blue177
172946.1
50111.7
16662.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188112050150250300350194177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
36Coral points31
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
24Coral scored#26
88Coral points94
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
120Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#11
12L3#11
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points2
194Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.30.5
85.284.7
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 22.3
166
#17
62.00.6
58.659.2
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
41.10.5
42.041.5
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
blue by 5.0
1729
#25
46.10.6
42.643.2
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Third
4311
#41
39.40.5
40.439.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
red by 27.7
501
#44
11.70.6
11.211.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6