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Red113
287637.5
404839.4
271345.7
Blue118
13867.1
1022910.1
23836.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128990200300400500113118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points60
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#2
12Processor points24
12Net points8
24Algae points32
70Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#5
7L3#8
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points0
113Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#28
45.70.3
46.045.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
blue by 21.3
138
#29
67.10.1
66.366.4
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
4048
#26
39.40.3
39.639.4
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
red by 3.3
238
#12
36.10.1
35.335.4
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
Third
2876
#20
37.50.3
37.837.5
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 27.4
10.10.1
9.910.1
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4