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Red162
312855.1
546849.4
944914.1
Blue153
427058.4
35954.2
833916.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291346080100120160180200220162153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
99Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
162Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.11.3
53.454.7
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
blue by 3.4
58.40.9
56.157.0
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
49.41.3
47.749.0
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
blue by 4.8
359
#1
54.20.8
52.052.8
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
Third
9449
#27
14.11.3
12.413.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 2.0
8339
#38
16.10.8
13.914.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5