Chaos Theory · Team 5468 — Benchmark

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5468Chaos Theory

Bend, Oregon, USA

#80 of 3687 · 55-24 · 70% win rate

Canadian Pacific Regional

Feb 26 – Mar 1, 2025

FinalistQuality

3128546894499044

Rank 711-5

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	4253 2438 5516	7332 9641 5468	82–66	68%	101–90
Qual 9	6188 4253 5468	3128 4421 7551	81–91	62%	119–136
Qual 19	6353 5468 7796	6902 4327 10044	61–63	58%	92–59
Qual 25	5468 2122 7135	8338 4270 6036	93–108	68%	167–74
Qual 34	7796 3990 7688	7190 9277 5468	77–71	59%	76–70
Qual 43	6390 4627 5468	8339 10527 7673	94–54	95%	117–36
Qual 49	5468 6036 9044	5461 6390 9449	98–55	98%	135–51
Qual 58	3128 5468 10427	9044 7167 846	107–68	98%	142–77
Qual 66	9465 4627 6188	5468 846 10384	71–103	97%	70–113
Qual 80	4862 2122 6902	2438 5468 9292	82–122	99%	92–139
Playoffs
Match 3	3128 5468 9449	7551 4862 4627	133–106	93%	159–97
Match 8	3128 5468 9044	3990 7287 5516	133–118	79%	120–105
Match 11	4270 359 8339	3128 5468 9449	127–130	60%	125–139
Finals
Final 1	3128 5468 9449	4270 359 8339	131–130	53%	114–193
Final 2	3128 5468 9449	4270 359 8339	130–134	55%	162–153
Final 3	3128 5468 9449	4270 359 8339	133–135	52%	130–178

PNW District SunDome Event

Mar 13 – 15, 2025

FinalistTeam Spirit

Rank 213-5

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	5468 2926 9613	10416 3812 4131	97–67	89%	91–44
Qual 7	5468 9450 4061	3712 2926 6076	142–62	100%	165–43
Qual 14	2930 7627 492	5468 9680 2811	120–111	68%	143–110
Qual 23	7627 5468 10423	4125 3712 955	108–88	86%	134–50
Qual 28	5468 6076 6465	4513 9613 6343	103–88	80%	153–126
Qual 32	3826 6465 2990	4692 5468 749	111–125	67%	109–130
Qual 38	492 5468 4980	10423 5295 5920	130–79	98%	98–72
Qual 42	492 8532 4060	3826 10416 5468	89–129	97%	71–143
Qual 46	2811 6343 1595	5920 5468 4131	119–138	80%	127–142
Qual 53	1318 3812 5468	6076 4060 4980	134–81	98%	139–66
Qual 57	10416 10423 4692	4513 2147 5468	92–160	100%	83–155
Qual 68	4060 955 5468	2990 2930 2147	144–156	77%	116–125
Playoffs
Match 3	5468 1595 1318	4980 10416 492	138–103	95%	156–104
Match 8	5468 1595 1318	4513 8532 2147	144–127	70%	186–113
Match 11	2930 749 9450	5468 1595 1318	163–139	86%	169–125
Match 13	5468 1595 1318	3826 2811 955	143–133	65%	167–77
Finals
Final 1	2930 749 9450	5468 1595 1318	163–140	86%	167–138
Final 2	2930 749 9450	5468 1595 1318	163–140	86%	179–137

PNW District Wilsonville Event

Mar 21 – 23, 2025

WinnerAutonomous

Rank 215-2

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 3	2374 5468 2550	3673 1359 753	120–67	98%	143–84
Qual 8	5468 9567 1425	3024 9600 5970	129–69	99%	145–94
Qual 17	6696 997 2550	5468 2471 1595	115–134	79%	118–159
Qual 20	3636 9430 1844	4488 5468 2733	99–120	85%	109–153
Qual 25	2374 2811 997	753 5468 3636	121–161	95%	133–152
Qual 34	9430 1359 5468	1425 2374 1844	108–95	65%	124–142
Qual 39	1595 2733 4662	2521 1540 5468	78–151	100%	97–202
Qual 45	2915 6831 5468	6696 4692 4488	121–124	60%	105–123
Qual 49	5468 6443 6696	1540 2550 10444	161–100	99%	186–110
Qual 55	5975 5468 997	9567 9430 4043	119–103	73%	109–106
Qual 58	4043 2521 6831	5468 4662 6343	124–155	91%	118–124
Qual 63	4488 2521 1359	9600 3673 5468	116–153	97%	135–184
Playoffs
Match 1	5468 9567 957	6443 9430 753	168–110	99%	202–131
Match 7	5468 9567 957	2471 9600 3636	181–162	78%	206–201
Match 11	5468 9567 957	1540 1425 997	170–146	85%	188–156
Finals
Final 1	5468 9567 957	1540 1425 997	171–147	86%	162–128
Final 2	5468 9567 957	1540 1425 997	171–146	89%	161–137

Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Apr 2 – 5, 2025

Rank 197-8

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	948 5468 4043	3218 3663 9442	166–175	59%	178–215
Qual 9	4512 4131 2412	1540 9023 5468	128–194	99%	178–245
Qual 23	2471 5468 3826	6696 1318 955	165–177	59%	160–179
Qual 33	2910 1540 6443	955 5468 2976	222–164	97%	217–207
Qual 38	7034 5468 10079	1778 2147 4043	173–195	77%	160–215
Qual 44	4043 488 2910	5468 4125 6696	226–173	97%	235–191
Qual 52	5468 4513 6343	6831 4125 3826	207–109	100%	195–96
Qual 59	492 9036 9567	9450 1425 5468	138–226	99%	170–275
Qual 70	5468 4450 3218	10416 2046 4131	214–192	77%	253–218
Qual 80	4512 492 5468	6343 2522 9446	201–171	84%	202–166
Qual 85	957 360 3674	5468 4061 9446	210–186	80%	204–156
Qual 95	9442 997 5468	2557 2930 4450	211–204	58%	188–158
Playoffs
Match 2	1318 5468 957	9442 360 1540	232–211	77%	193–198
Match 5	2471 2412 4043	1318 5468 957	187–230	92%	157–215
Match 10	9450 948 1778	1318 5468 957	230–227	59%	218–200

Newton Division

Apr 16 – 19, 2025

Quality

742654681882974

Rank 139-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 10	5468 1388 6459	1807 6996 2429	193–152	96%	206–155
Qual 23	4909 1502 2974	6996 6147 5468	210–201	60%	218–229
Qual 36	5026 1730 5468	3937 6147 3008	213–174	86%	172–200
Qual 45	8590 5468 3847	1072 7538 6459	205–146	97%	178–175
Qual 59	5124 7415 449	5468 7444 1710	139–189	92%	137–134
Qual 67	360 2412 5553	10523 5468 4499	167–227	96%	114–229
Qual 86	422 2635 7563	1323 5468 1778	204–295	100%	206–277
Qual 99	5535 125 7565	2832 2635 5468	208–196	66%	214–233
Qual 113	10077 5142 294	5468 2412 188	173–226	92%	169–237
Qual 123	4905 4272 5468	3655 343 6665	216–181	83%	188–131
Playoffs
Match 3	2468 2832 1778	188 7426 5468	245–242	53%	237–257
Match 8	188 7426 5468	3847 868 422	240–260	70%	237–242
Match 10	5468 7426 188	294 449 3937	238–223	64%	203–248

Sep 26 – 28, 2025

9450594054682813

Rank 258-7

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 5	8033 294 5468	1671 2813 841	231–183	91%	196–207
Qual 13	604 3663 4414	5468 2813 9408	271–209	92%	250–203
Qual 20	5468 8048 4738	8793 8033 971	207–197	70%	181–172
Qual 23	5468 581 1197	9442 294 2910	252–256	61%	257–263
Qual 33	5507 3501 3045	4270 5468 9450	188–244	86%	166–247
Qual 38	254 5468 9084	581 4270 8033	251–238	71%	233–204
Qual 42	1678 6238 972	5468 5419 5026	195–200	58%	239–144
Qual 50	3478 694 2046	973 5468 2073	238–207	68%	204–195
Qual 61	9408 5419 6036	5468 846 2910	189–249	91%	194–243
Qual 65	9496 5468 3501	694 4499 5419	215–246	78%	227–215
Playoffs
Match 4	9450 5940 5468	9408 604 581	251–247	52%	261–277
Match 6	294 1678 4270	9450 5940 5468	250–255	53%	202–226
Match 9	973 4499 9496	9450 5468 5940	233–252	68%	276–276
Match 12	971 4738 3663	9450 5468 5940	248–256	58%	195–248
Match 13	254 2910 972	9450 5468 5940	264–257	60%	293–280

Oct 5, 2025

Rank 18-3

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	2374 3636 2990	997 2550 5468	154–173	65%	145–136
Qual 8	957 749 753	6443 2521 5468	143–171	75%	63–117
Qual 11	6443 2733 957	5468 749 2990	134–151	64%	82–96
Qual 16	5468 753 2733	2374 7034 6696	127–149	73%	132–99
Qual 19	1359 6696 753	5468 9997 2471	90–141	88%	75–138
Qual 22	2471 1359 749	1425 5468 2635	91–171	95%	77–114
Qual 25	9998 5468 957	2635 1359 1540	155–96	90%	92–43
Qual 29	4043 2374 5468	9999 1540 749	141–72	92%	134–53
Playoffs
Match 1	5468 2374 2471	6443 1540 955	156–128	80%	139–119
Match 3	5468 2374 2471	957 3636 9998	158–121	82%	146–170
Match 5	5468 2374 2471	7034 753 1425	157–138	66%	138–140

Oct 25, 2025

3674546844889567

Rank 35-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 4	6443 5468 9993	6343 2990 9567	122–130	52%	194–66
Qual 9	2557 2811 1425	9995 6465 5468	162–138	71%	132–100
Qual 12	9997 2990 6696	5468 3636 9998	80–144	90%	95–207
Qual 15	2811 2990 5468	6696 2412 3674	169–182	53%	197–222
Qual 18	2811 1540 4488	6696 5468 2521	145–160	65%	68–136
Qual 23	3636 6465 2521	5468 9450 9994	119–177	90%	94–233
Qual 26	5468 6343 1540	6465 6696 4692	172–110	90%	129–116
Qual 30	3674 4692 9450	4488 4043 5468	199–145	90%	135–137
Playoffs
Match 1	4488 5468 3674	2811 3636 1425	190–166	77%	169–171
Match 4	4488 5468 3674	6443 9450 6696	189–157	72%	100–177