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Red138
546865.8
237429.1
247150.6
Blue140
703451.0
75321.1
142555.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160135050100200250138140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points50
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
73Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
138Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.2
66.065.8
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 10.8
55.00.3
55.455.7
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
50.60.2
50.850.6
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
blue by 0.4
51.00.3
51.451.7
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Third
29.10.2
29.329.1
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
red by 8.0
753
#10
21.10.3
20.420.7
Auto2.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6