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Red186
546870.6
644336.0
669652.2
Blue110
154051.6
255029.4
1044417.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1728950100150200250186110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +52
25Coral scored#15
91Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
135Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#3
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
186Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.5
69.370.8
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 19.0
51.60.8
43.644.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Second
6696
#14
52.21.5
49.150.6
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
red by 22.8
2550
#19
29.40.8
29.330.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
Third
6443
#22
36.01.5
33.434.9
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
red by 18.5
17.50.8
13.714.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed