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Red218
945082.5
94845.9
177891.8
Blue200
131868.8
546879.7
95767.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230226190200210220240250260270218200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+44Teleop
+14Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points48
50Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +45
26Coral scored#23
92Coral points81
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#3
24Processor points18
40Net points12
64Algae points30
156Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#13
10L3#10
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points2
218Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.1
90.890.7
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
red by 12.2
5468
#19
79.70.4
80.179.7
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
Second
9450
#15
82.50.1
81.581.3
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
red by 13.7
68.80.4
69.268.8
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
Third
948
#44
45.90.1
44.944.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 21.2
957
#17
67.20.4
67.667.2
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9