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Red199
944271.9
36057.2
154071.2
Blue264
2910115.2
703455.3
293074.3
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205266150250300350199264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#11
24Coral points54
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +25
23Coral scored#35
81Coral points126
3Processor algae#3
11Net algae#6
18Processor points18
44Net points24
62Algae points42
143Total teleop168
Reef
8L4#18
8L3#13
8L2#11
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
199Total score264

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#29
71.90.0
71.571.5
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
blue by 43.3
115.20.4
114.0114.4
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
Second
71.20.0
70.870.8
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
blue by 3.1
2930
#20
74.30.4
73.173.4
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Third
360
#46
57.20.0
56.756.7
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
red by 1.9
7034
#18
55.30.4
54.154.4
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0