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Red195
546879.7
451362.2
634351.4
Blue96
683136.6
412526.9
382629.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225915015020025030035019596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+75Teleop
+99Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +65
26Coral scored#15
95Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
12Processor points12
36Net points12
48Algae points24
143Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#5
9L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#21
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
0Foul points0
195Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.71.1
78.677.5
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
red by 43.0
6831
#38
36.60.9
33.832.8
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
Second
4513
#22
62.21.1
60.659.5
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
red by 32.9
3826
#45
29.30.9
28.928.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Third
6343
#27
51.41.1
53.352.2
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 24.5
4125
#50
26.90.9
26.825.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed