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Red175
903650.7
367467.3
247157.2
Blue124
1041640.7
956731.0
491558.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191134100150250300175124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points24
31Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +43
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points67
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
128Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#8
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
175Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.30.5
67.166.6
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
red by 8.5
4915
#28
58.80.7
57.256.4
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Second
2471
#16
57.20.5
53.853.4
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
red by 16.5
40.70.7
37.436.7
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Third
9036
#14
50.70.5
49.949.5
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
red by 19.6
9567
#21
31.00.7
29.128.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed