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Red203
546878.2
742673.1
18870.6
Blue248
29467.3
44975.4
393774.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241220150200300350203248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points49
58Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +38
23Coral scored#33
81Coral points119
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
123Total teleop161
Reef
7L4#17
13L3#14
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points6
203Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#13
78.20.6
78.878.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
red by 2.8
449
#10
75.40.7
73.674.3
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
Second
73.10.6
73.773.1
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
blue by 1.6
74.70.7
72.973.6
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Third
188
#14
70.60.6
71.270.6
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
red by 3.3
294
#37
67.30.7
65.566.2
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7