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Red233
62467.4
645960.7
449979.8
Blue174
353878.3
138865.9
540679.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216245100150200300350233174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +36
27Coral scored#23
98Coral points84
8Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
48Processor points30
28Net points24
76Algae points54
174Total teleop138
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#9
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
233Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#29
79.80.6
79.179.7
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
red by 0.4
5406
#25
79.41.2
80.579.4
Auto19.3
Teleop49.1
End10.9
Second
624
#36
67.40.6
66.767.3
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
blue by 10.9
78.31.2
79.478.3
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
Third
6459
#22
60.70.6
60.160.7
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
blue by 5.3
1388
#26
65.91.2
67.165.9
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End8.3