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Red142
312855.1
546849.4
1042710.4
Blue77
904420.5
71678.9
84630.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146120408010014016014277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+57Teleop
+77Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
90Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points18
142Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.12.8
48.351.1
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
red by 25.0
846
#36
30.11.6
31.930.4
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Second
49.42.8
41.844.6
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 28.9
9044
#15
20.51.6
18.416.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
10.42.8
5.68.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
red by 1.6
7167
#39
8.91.6
9.27.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned