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Red109
382623.8
646535.2
299033.4
Blue130
469226.8
546859.2
74930.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10912750100150200109130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+33
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
71Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
109Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#15
35.20.8
30.231.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
blue by 23.9
59.21.3
57.058.3
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
2990
#16
33.40.8
34.635.3
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 3.1
749
#14
30.31.3
25.226.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Third
3826
#21
23.80.8
29.330.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 3.0
4692
#30
26.81.3
25.426.7
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned