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Red130
159519.3
292630.6
293059.0
Blue140
498027.8
634342.0
406137.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112100406080120140160130140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points22
27Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#17
69Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
87Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
130Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.02.0
56.158.1
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 16.9
6343
#13
42.02.8
32.735.5
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Second
2926
#18
30.62.0
24.826.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 7.1
4061
#12
37.72.8
31.834.5
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Third
1595
#33
19.33.4
15.919.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 8.6
4980
#22
27.82.8
25.228.0
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned