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Red126
49233.9
451347.8
1042323.4
Blue152
961318.4
131853.4
762741.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961076080120140160126152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
94Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
126Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.8
37.038.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
blue by 5.6
53.42.8
46.048.8
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Second
492
#25
33.91.8
32.033.9
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
blue by 8.0
41.82.8
33.336.1
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
Third
23.43.1
18.221.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 4.9
9613
#29
18.42.8
17.220.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned