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Red128
945065.6
607616.7
299033.4
Blue127
412521.6
413129.3
214744.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710150200128127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
Endgame+5
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
6Processor points12
24Net points20
30Algae points32
83Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points0
128Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.6
66.565.9
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 20.9
2147
#19
44.71.8
41.843.6
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
Second
2990
#16
33.40.6
34.333.7
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 4.1
29.31.8
26.928.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Third
6076
#26
16.70.6
17.116.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End0.5
blue by 4.8
4125
#28
21.61.8
17.118.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned