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Red58
529516.5
412521.6
1041631.7
Blue97
281143.4
607616.7
381216.5
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61902040801001201401605897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
58Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.2
25.225.3
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End2.9
blue by 11.7
43.41.7
39.641.3
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Second
4125
#28
21.60.2
13.513.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
red by 4.8
6076
#26
16.71.7
18.420.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End0.5
Third
5295
#20
16.50.3
17.017.2
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Level
3812
#27
16.51.7
13.815.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned