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Red89
406020.4
592038.0
371211.9
Blue112
945065.6
853218.2
968019.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741265010015020089112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
89Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.5
29.430.9
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
blue by 27.6
65.60.1
62.462.5
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
Second
4060
#24
20.41.5
23.525.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
red by 0.6
9680
#23
19.80.1
18.818.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
3712
#32
11.91.5
13.414.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 6.3
8532
#17
18.20.1
19.920.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned