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Red131
214744.7
406137.7
95548.2
Blue68
498027.8
413129.3
387611.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426005010020013168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
19Coral scored#10
68Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
96Total teleop48
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
131Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
48.20.3
47.747.4
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
red by 18.9
29.30.5
26.325.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Second
2147
#19
44.70.3
39.539.3
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 16.9
4980
#22
27.80.5
25.725.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Third
4061
#12
37.70.3
32.031.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
red by 26.5
3876
#34
11.20.8
5.64.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed