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Red153
546859.2
607616.7
646535.2
Blue126
451347.8
961318.4
634342.0
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106864060100120140160153126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
100Total teleop94
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#5
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points2
153Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.22.4
54.657.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
red by 11.3
47.81.8
35.237.0
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
Second
6465
#15
35.22.4
27.930.2
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
blue by 6.8
6343
#13
42.01.8
30.932.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Third
6076
#26
16.72.4
16.118.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End0.5
blue by 1.7
9613
#29
18.41.8
15.317.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned