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Red68
1042323.4
382623.8
371211.9
Blue113
292630.6
74930.3
592038.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789120406010012014068113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+59
Endgame+51
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +56
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points52
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
36Total teleop92
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points0
68Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#21
23.81.1
30.429.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 14.2
38.01.6
27.829.4
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Second
23.41.9
20.118.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 7.2
2926
#18
30.61.6
23.124.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
3712
#32
11.91.1
14.513.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 18.5
749
#14
30.31.6
23.625.2
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed