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Red114
381216.5
214744.7
469226.8
Blue70
412521.6
968019.8
159519.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895302040608010012014011470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points27
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
24Processor points12
24Net points8
48Algae points20
97Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points12
114Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#19
44.71.8
37.739.5
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 23.1
4125
#28
21.60.4
13.913.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
Second
4692
#30
26.81.8
23.625.4
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
red by 6.9
9680
#23
19.80.4
19.218.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
3812
#27
16.51.8
12.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 2.8
1595
#33
19.30.7
16.515.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned