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Red56
387611.2
293059.0
529516.5
Blue115
853218.2
1041631.7
131853.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97996070809011012013056115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#14
19Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
39Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points8
56Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.02.1
58.256.1
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 5.6
53.41.3
44.746.0
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Second
5295
#20
16.53.5
20.517.0
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 15.3
31.71.3
23.825.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
3876
#34
11.23.5
9.25.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 7.0
8532
#17
18.21.3
18.519.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned