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Red210
413129.3
281143.4
945065.6
Blue138
299033.4
49233.9
406020.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399450150200210138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
28Coral scored#18
102Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#10
18Processor points12
24Net points40
42Algae points52
144Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#9
10L3#4
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
210Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.63.8
58.662.4
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 31.7
492
#25
33.91.2
30.832.0
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
Second
43.43.8
35.839.6
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
red by 10.0
2990
#16
33.41.2
33.334.6
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Third
29.33.8
22.526.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 8.9
4060
#24
20.41.2
22.223.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned