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Red97
159518.2
273327.4
466223.9
Blue202
252143.9
154051.6
546870.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6516505010015020025097202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+85
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +42
3Leave6
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points52
16Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +43
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points68
2Processor algae#4
1Net algae#7
12Processor points24
4Net points28
16Algae points52
77Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
97Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#33
27.41.0
23.024.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
blue by 43.2
70.63.3
66.669.9
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
4662
#20
23.91.0
27.228.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 27.7
51.63.3
38.241.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Third
1595
#21
18.21.0
20.121.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 25.7
2521
#10
43.93.3
36.840.1
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned