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Red167
546859.2
159519.3
131853.4
Blue77
382623.8
281143.4
95548.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145131608010012016018020022016777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+68Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
99Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
167Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.20.9
58.159.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
red by 11.0
955
#10
48.20.9
49.148.2
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
Second
53.40.9
52.453.2
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
red by 10.0
43.40.9
44.343.4
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Third
1595
#33
19.30.9
18.219.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 4.5
3826
#21
23.80.9
24.723.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5