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Red167
293059.0
74930.3
945065.6
Blue138
546859.2
159519.3
131853.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713680100120160180200220167138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+5Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +6
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
96Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points0
167Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.3
64.865.1
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 6.4
59.20.1
59.059.1
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
59.00.3
58.258.5
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 5.6
53.40.1
53.253.4
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Third
749
#14
30.30.3
29.529.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 11.1
1595
#33
19.30.1
19.119.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5