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Red179
293059.0
74930.3
945065.6
Blue137
546859.2
159519.3
131853.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16813680100120160180200220179137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
50Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points71
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
103Total teleop93
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#7
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
179Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.5
65.165.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 6.4
59.20.1
59.159.2
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
59.00.5
58.559.0
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 5.6
53.40.1
53.453.4
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Third
749
#14
30.30.5
29.830.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 11.1
1595
#33
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5