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Red145
546870.6
956724.9
142550.7
Blue94
302419.0
960036.1
597022.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14058010015020014594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+63Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
102Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points6
145Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.9
60.961.8
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 34.5
9600
#18
36.10.8
25.826.5
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
Second
50.70.9
33.934.8
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 28.5
5970
#26
22.20.8
16.417.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
9567
#13
24.90.9
18.018.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
red by 5.9
3024
#34
19.00.8
14.214.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned