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Red123
683131.6
363656.3
367455.7
Blue132
247143.9
252143.9
469232.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510050150200123132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
19Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
98Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
123Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.0
55.655.6
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
red by 12.4
43.92.4
36.438.8
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
55.70.0
43.042.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 11.8
2521
#10
43.92.4
31.033.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Third
6831
#27
31.60.0
25.125.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
blue by 0.4
4692
#24
32.02.4
28.130.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed