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Red130
669652.2
466223.9
75329.2
Blue124
273327.4
404344.2
367327.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93854060120140160180130124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
94Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
130Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
52.22.5
38.641.1
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
red by 8.0
4043
#30
44.22.9
42.044.9
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
Second
753
#12
29.22.5
24.026.5
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
red by 1.3
3673
#25
27.82.9
24.227.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
Third
4662
#20
23.92.5
23.726.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 3.5
2733
#33
27.42.9
14.717.6
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned