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Red40
159518.2
59758.7
154051.6
Blue96
448838.0
255029.4
184418.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70894060801001201404096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
22Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
40Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.4
34.633.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
red by 13.5
38.01.5
34.135.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Second
1595
#21
18.21.4
18.917.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 11.2
2550
#19
29.41.5
26.027.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
Third
5975
#16
8.71.4
4.43.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
blue by 9.6
1844
#23
18.31.5
10.512.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned