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Red135
448838.0
252143.9
135916.1
Blue184
960036.1
367327.8
546870.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091606080100120140180200220135184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+59
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
30Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +50
16Coral scored#30
57Coral points107
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
81Total teleop131
Reef
6L4#16
8L3#12
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
135Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
43.91.0
42.643.6
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
blue by 26.7
70.61.8
67.168.9
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
38.01.0
36.037.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
red by 1.9
9600
#18
36.11.8
34.336.1
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
Third
1359
#31
16.11.0
15.116.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
blue by 11.7
3673
#25
27.81.8
26.027.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned