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Red137
302419.0
669652.2
404344.2
Blue171
154051.6
683131.6
943031.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191126080100140160180137171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
15Coral scored#23
54Coral points84
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
24Processor points18
20Net points20
44Algae points38
98Total teleop122
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#11
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points12
137Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
52.21.6
50.352.0
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
red by 0.7
51.63.6
47.751.3
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Second
4043
#30
44.21.6
42.243.8
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
red by 12.6
6831
#27
31.63.6
28.131.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
Third
3024
#34
19.01.6
17.018.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 12.4
9430
#15
31.43.6
27.330.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned