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Red124
943031.4
135916.1
546870.6
Blue142
142550.7
237433.6
184418.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11192050150200124142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
66Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points10
124Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.4
65.366.6
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 19.9
50.73.0
42.645.6
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
Second
9430
#15
31.41.4
23.725.1
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
blue by 2.3
2374
#11
33.63.0
29.632.6
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
Third
1359
#31
16.11.4
12.513.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
blue by 2.1
1844
#23
18.33.0
15.318.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned