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Red123
960036.1
247143.9
448838.0
Blue71
597022.2
75329.2
291510.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138705010015020012371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+56Teleop
+54Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
21Coral scored#8
74Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
90Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points2
123Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.1
42.242.3
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 14.8
753
#12
29.20.2
26.927.1
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
Second
38.00.1
37.037.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
red by 15.9
5970
#26
22.20.2
17.817.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
9600
#18
36.10.1
30.530.5
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
red by 25.9
2915
#32
10.20.2
15.816.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned