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Red137
99730.4
634344.9
363656.3
Blue55
302419.0
255029.4
59758.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16754010015020025013755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+88Teleop
+70Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +84
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points20
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
108Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +18
2Cage & park20
2Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
14Foul points2
137Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.31.1
60.159.0
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
red by 26.9
2550
#19
29.40.1
30.230.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
Second
6343
#17
44.91.1
46.645.6
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
red by 25.9
3024
#34
19.00.1
18.418.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Third
997
#28
30.41.1
32.131.0
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 21.7
5975
#16
8.70.1
6.56.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned