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Red155
669652.2
142550.7
943031.4
Blue81
135916.1
404344.2
644336.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128995015020015581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+60Teleop
+72Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
107Total teleop61
Reef
10L4#4
9L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
2Foul points0
155Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
52.22.4
46.548.9
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
red by 8.0
4043
#30
44.21.1
49.348.2
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
Second
50.72.4
45.647.9
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 14.7
6443
#22
36.01.1
34.133.0
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
Third
9430
#15
31.42.4
25.127.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
red by 15.2
1359
#31
16.11.1
13.912.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed