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Red100
281151.9
367327.8
302419.0
Blue168
367455.7
634344.9
252143.9
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10314150150200100168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave3
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points48
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
60Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points6
100Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.2
51.952.1
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
blue by 3.8
55.72.4
47.750.0
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
3673
#25
27.80.2
26.326.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
blue by 17.1
6343
#17
44.92.4
44.346.6
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Third
3024
#34
19.00.2
18.118.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 24.9
2521
#10
43.92.4
34.536.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned