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Red92
247143.9
1044417.5
683131.6
Blue75
59758.7
960036.1
466223.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10477501509275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
75Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
92Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.7
42.942.2
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 7.8
9600
#18
36.10.6
31.130.5
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
Second
6831
#27
31.60.7
29.228.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
red by 7.7
4662
#20
23.90.6
27.727.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Third
17.50.7
11.510.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 8.8
5975
#16
8.70.6
7.16.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned