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Red68
255029.4
469232.0
291510.2
Blue110
404344.2
154051.6
448838.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881515010020025068110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
68Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#24
32.00.8
32.131.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
blue by 19.5
51.61.2
39.538.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Second
2550
#19
29.40.8
31.030.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
blue by 14.8
4043
#30
44.21.2
50.549.3
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
Third
2915
#32
10.20.8
16.615.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 27.8
38.01.2
38.237.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned