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Qual 592025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red170
49252.2
903650.7
956731.0
Blue275
945082.5
142566.7
546879.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12124350100150200300350170275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+87
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +37
6Leave3
1Coral scored#9
6Coral points46
12Total auto49
TeleoperatedBlue +50
24Coral scored#43
88Coral points156
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
24Processor points18
28Net points16
52Algae points34
140Total teleop190
Reef
10L4#18
5L3#10
5L2#14
5L1 · trough#10
36Game pieces#59
BargeBlue +18
18Cage & park36
18Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
170Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#12
52.21.4
42.5→43.9
Auto8.1
Teleop37.5
End6.6
blue by 30.2
9450
#15
82.52.2
74.6→76.8
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Second
9036
#14
50.71.4
49.5→50.8
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
blue by 29.0
5468
#19
79.72.2
77.5→79.7
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
Third
9567
#21
31.01.4
28.4→29.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 35.7
1425
#11
66.72.2
62.9→65.1
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned