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Red154
204678.7
944632.8
644333.8
Blue208
214753.4
363663.9
902370.5
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164191100150200250154208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+64
Endgame+56
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points42
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +36
19Coral scored#29
69Coral points103
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
105Total teleop141
Reef
9L4#15
4L3#8
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#8
30Game pieces#45
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points0
154Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.70.4
76.275.8
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
red by 8.2
70.51.3
65.767.0
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Second
6443
#49
33.80.4
36.335.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
blue by 30.2
3636
#35
63.91.3
62.864.1
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
Third
9446
#34
32.80.4
32.131.7
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
blue by 20.6
2147
#40
53.41.3
46.047.3
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned