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Red118
297630.3
357430.4
36057.2
Blue219
593758.1
321857.1
451260.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125174100150200250118219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+89
Endgame+101
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +75
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points89
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#10
6Processor points30
8Net points40
14Algae points70
84Total teleop159
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#9
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points0
118Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#46
57.20.5
60.460.0
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
blue by 3.5
4512
#13
60.73.9
48.552.4
Auto17.7
Teleop40.4
End2.5
Second
3574
#39
30.40.5
23.623.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 27.7
5937
#25
58.13.9
49.753.6
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Third
2976
#48
30.30.5
29.829.4
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
blue by 26.7
3218
#23
57.13.9
51.055.0
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned