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Red176
1007952.1
95558.7
99736.4
Blue163
94845.9
944271.9
241258.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14118350100200250300176163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+37Teleop
+21Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +16
28Coral scored#17
99Coral points61
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
6Processor points24
20Net points24
26Algae points48
125Total teleop109
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#5
6L2#5
9L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points8
176Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#32
58.71.9
53.655.5
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
blue by 13.2
9442
#29
71.91.6
68.066.4
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
52.11.9
44.045.9
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
blue by 6.8
2412
#24
58.81.6
51.349.7
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
Third
997
#33
36.41.9
39.141.0
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
blue by 9.5
948
#44
45.91.6
48.146.5
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned