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Red92
635311.0
546849.4
779616.2
Blue59
69029.6
432722.8
1004410.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163507080909259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+37Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
58Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
8Foul points12
92Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.43.0
31.834.8
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 26.6
4327
#48
22.81.6
28.126.4
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
Second
7796
#30
16.23.0
12.815.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
red by 6.2
10.01.6
17.115.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
6353
#45
11.03.0
9.712.7
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 1.4
6902
#47
9.61.6
10.48.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed